Due to the slow strengthening of the system and its more westerly track, reduced sustained wind speeds of between 25 to 35 miles per hour...40 to 55km/h with occasional higher gusts to tropical storm force are now expected to impact Barbados as the system passes to the south.In addition, large easterly swells (storm surge) of at least 3.0 to 4.0m (10 to 13 ft) are also forecast to accompany the system.
The National Hurricane Center (NHC) forecast has it tracking toward the Gulf Coast in the area of the Louisiana-Texas border.
Much further east, Invest 92-L has a 60% chance of becoming tropical as it treks toward the Caribbean over the next few days.
Tropical storm force winds begin at 39 miles per hour, but this system doesn't have organized storms near its center, and it also has a large wind field.
Meanwhile, tropical storm Bret is expected to weaken into a tropical depression in the Atlantic on Wednesday.
In the past, even if the hurricane center thought a system had a high chance of developing, it couldn't issue watches and warnings. It is not expected to become a hurricane. This was the model that had 93L making landfall near the MS coast.
A plane may be sent to get more storm details Sunday afternoon if it's necessary, but Lacy said the next update on the system should be released Monday morning. Some spots could get up to 10 inches.
The threat of heavy rain will spread inland in Alabama on Wednesday and Thursday. Heavy, flooding rain and coastal flooding will be possible.
The most significant impacts will be experienced within close proximity to the coastline.
The Windward Islands may begin to see gusty winds and heavy rain Monday night or early Tuesday, making outside preparations hard or risky by this time.
A tropical storm warning is in effect for part of the Venezuelan coast, and watches are posted for Bonaire, Curaco and Aruba.
Last June was an outlier, when Bonnie, Colin and Danielle all spun through the Atlantic Basin as tropical storms.
Bret is expected to encounter less favorable conditions for development starting later today and could dissipate altogether in two or three days.