Battle for the House tests Trump, GOP hold on Congress

Donald Trump's next two years as President could face some changes as Americans head to the polls today to vote in the mid-term elections. Perhaps more important, they would claim subpoena power to investigate Trump's personal and professional shortcomings.

Tens of millions of voters are expected to cast their ballots, and the results will decide all 435 seats in the House of Representatives, 35 of 100 Senate seats and 39 state and territorial governorships.

The Republicans, however, enjoyed a four-in-five chance of retaining control of the Senate, according to the website.

King is in a tough race with his Democratic challenger Liuba Grechen Shirley, a 37-year-old mother of two.

Trump is stressing Senate contests like Indiana's after sending signals that maintaining the House may be out of reach.

Most top House races are set in America's suburbs where more educated and affluent voters in both parties have soured on Trump's presidency, despite the strength of the national economy. But Trump appears to have put his finger on a very contentious spot in the American mind-space: people are anxious that the liberalism of the Democrats may work completely against the interests of those already living in the country.

FILE - President Donald Trump acknowledges the crowd at a rally in Chattanooga, Tenn., Nov. 4, 2018.

"Democrats want to invite caravan after caravan of illegal aliens to pour into our country. When you talk locally, they're talking about protecting health care, they're talking about gun rights, gun reform", Wolf said.

"It's going to be a long night for America's voters and a busy night for us", says OneNewsNow editor-in-chief Jody Brown. "That is an invasion of our country". Last week, Democratic House leader Nancy Pelosi predicted it would happen.

"If the radical Democrats take power they will take a wrecking ball to our economy and our future", Trump declared in Cleveland, using the same heated rhetoric that has defined much of his presidency. Politico congressional reporter Rachael Bade joined CNN's Early Start on Monday to break it down.

Their votes are crucial to Democratic hopes to retake the Senate and sweep to victory in the House.

Around 37 percent of eligible voters took part in the 2014 mid-term elections, down from 42 percent in 2010. However, not so obvious is the fact that Democrats tend to speak louder about their voting habits than Republicans do, possibly putting Republicans even higher than the Rasmussen poll indicates.

But winning the popular vote will not necessarily be enough - just ask Hillary Clinton, who beat Trump by nearly three million votes but still lost the 2016 election.

"The big picture is that midterm elections go against the president's party", noted John Fortier of the Bipartisan Policy Center in Washington. In 2017, when the administration was working towards traditional Republican economic priorities such as cutting taxes and limiting entitlements, Trump had a job approval rating of less than 70% job approval among Obama-Trump voters.

FILE - People stand cast their ballots ahead of the November 6 election at Jim Miller Park, in Marietta, Ga., Oct. 27, 2018.

This has been accounted for by all major news organisations, and pollsters are now more likely to err on the side of caution and assume that small polling errors - errors that would be insignificant if they were isolated - may be replicated across different locations and elections and therefore may have an impact on the overall vote. The news since then probably reinforced these views - in particular, the president's renegotiation of the Nafta treaty, which fulfills one of his promises to this group, and his opposition to the caravan of Central American migrants, which reinforces another.

Elections for all the members of the House are held every two years. This, though, is Republicans' best chance to flip a gubernatorial seat with Mike Dunleavy. Candidates and their supporters are using the downtime to phone bank voters who still haven't voted and walk as many neighborhoods as possible.

The California Democrat has already led her party to a majority in 2006, becoming the first woman speaker in history.

But as he touched down in IN on Monday, even Trump conceded that the House may slip from his party's grasp.

Vanessa Coleman

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